Open Briefing: Despite the presence in Sudan of many of the preconditions that led to recent uprisings elsewhere the Middle East and North Africa, a Sudanese ‘Arab Spring’ is assessed as unlikely in the short-term.
Tag: Scott Hickie
Dossier: Economic crisis and political instability in Sudan
Open Briefing: In the last two months alone, Omar al-Bashir's government has survived street protests, denied Israeli allegations of supplying weapons to Hamas and foiled a coup attempt. At the same time, Sudan's economy is edging closer to potential collapse.
Intelligence brief: An assessment of the states and institutions well placed to provide significant financial relief to Sudan
Open Briefing: Sudan's economy faces potential collapse. However, its current risk profile will deter many lenders from issuing new loans. As such, debt relief will most likely be the dominant form of any financial relief provided to Sudan.
Dossier: Domestic drivers of the Senkaku/Diaoyu Islands confrontation
Open Briefing: Our analysis of the domestic drivers of and constraints on the various parties in the recurring Senkaku/Diaoyu Islands confrontation reveals they do not lock in armed conflict but, instead, support considerable diplomatic flexibility.
Dossier: The prospects for peace in Thailand’s deep south
This Open Briefing dossier explores the roots of the slow burning Malay Muslim insurgency in Thailand's deep south and the complicated challenge it poses the country's Prime Minister, Yingluck Shinawatra.
Dossier: China, the Philippines and the Scarborough Shoal
The April/May 2012 standoff between China and the Philippines over the Scarborough Shoal went beyond the normal, periodic disputes that are part and parcel of the South China Sea ...