For the past six months, Open Briefing's Africa desk has been developing forecasts for insecurity and conflict in Africa over 2014. They have today published the synthesis report for Southern Africa, covering: Angola, Botswana, Madagascar, Malawi, Mozambique, Namibia, South Africa, Swaziland, Zambia and Zimbabwe.
Tag: Open Briefing
Southern Africa: Forecasts for insecurity and conflict in 2014
Some narratives have painted Southern Africa as a region largely absent of conflict and insecurity. In reality, instability persists beneath the surface due to corruption and inequitable settlements following independence or struggles for national liberation. This study from Open Briefing provides forecasts for 10 Southern African countries over 2014.
New Open Briefing series, The View from Russia
Open Briefing has published the first in a new fortnightly series, The View from Russia. In each edition, Open Briefing's Russian-speaking researcher, Erin Decker, will look at how major events and issues are reported in the Russian media.
Intelligence brief: Qatari aid, finance and foreign policy in Sudan
This intelligence brief for an international network of aid agencies and civil society organisation answers four intelligence requests related to Qatari aid and other finance in Sudan, as well as Qatar's policy towards South Kordofan and Blue Nile states and the architects of such policies.
Central Africa: Forecasts for insecurity and conflict in 2014
The conflicts that have devastated Central Africa have created a profound level of instability, cycles of repeat violence and a ‘bad neighbourhood’ from which its members have no recourse, particularly landlocked states. Given the high levels of poverty and lack of opportunity, the outlook for much of the region looks bleak. This study from Open Briefing provides forecasts for four Central African countries over 2014.
West Africa: Forecasts for insecurity and conflict in 2014
Some narratives have painted West Africa as a region where conflict and insecurity occur naturally due to ethnic tensions and porous borders. In reality, the underlying sources and drivers of instability are critical to understanding events. This study from Open Briefing attempts to avoid generalisations by analysing specific factors and identifying forecasts for individual countries in the region.
The weekly briefing, 10 February 2013
Political and security risk updates from the Open Briefing intelligence unit. Muslim civilians flee Central African Republic capital, ex-guerrilla leader takes lead in El Salvador presidential election, violent protests spread across Bosnia-Herzegovina, and more.
Key international developments for 2014
In December 2013 and January 2014, analysts from the Open Briefing intelligence unit reviewed the key international developments likely to occur over 2014. This briefing covers ten of these developments, including Russian military build-up in the Arctic, a stalled Myanmar transition, an uncertain future in Syria and civil unrest in Angola.
