Open Briefing: An Israeli strike against Iran is highly unlikely between the US presidential elections in November 2012 and the Israeli elections in January 2013, and unlikely between January and the Iranian presidential elections in June 2013.
Tag: Iran
Intelligence brief: Will the United States or the United Kingdom play a role in supporting any Israeli military strike against Iran in the six months following the 2012 US presidential election?
Open Briefing: The United States and Britain are unlikely to support any Israeli strike against Iran in the first six months following the November 2012 US presidential election. This will likely remain the case regardless of who wins the election.
Iran’s secret weapon
This article from Open Briefing argues that Israel is unlikely to cease targeting human assets linked to Iran's nuclear programme, while Iran and its affiliates are equally unlikely to desist from hurting Jewish interests and Israeli citizens worldwide.
Dossier: Iran, Israel and the consequences of military strikes
Tensions between Iran and key Western governments and Israel are entering singularly dangerous straits and the consequences of military strikes would be far reaching and serious ...
Tehran’s man in Baghdad
The last round of the P5+1 talks weren't held in Baghdad by chance. While Iran's nuclear dispute still has no clear endgame in sight, the next phase in Persian power play is quietly being rolled out next door ...
Israel’s reluctant friend
Talk of allowing its airstrips to be used in a military strike against Iran thrust Azerbaijan into the spotlight. It doesn’t want to be there ...
Let Iran save face
The ongoing nuclear standoff with Iran in part stems from its deliberate exclusion from the regional decision-making processes ...
Iranian parliamentary elections indicator of regime’s and Supreme Leader’s mounting anxieties
Khamenei’s chief challenge will be to preserve the status quo and his influence-patronage networks. This will be reflected in the individuals approved by him to head the key institutions, including the next presidency in 2013 ...
