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Intelligence brief: Qatari aid, finance and foreign policy in Sudan

This intelligence brief for an international network of aid agencies and civil society organisation answers four intelligence requests related to Qatari aid and other finance in Sudan, as well as Qatar's policy towards South Kordofan and Blue Nile states and the architects of such policies.

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Central Africa: Forecasts for insecurity and conflict in 2014

The conflicts that have devastated Central Africa have created a profound level of instability, cycles of repeat violence and a ‘bad neighbourhood’ from which its members have no recourse, particularly landlocked states. Given the high levels of poverty and lack of opportunity, the outlook for much of the region looks bleak. This study from Open Briefing provides forecasts for four Central African countries over 2014.

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West Africa: Forecasts for insecurity and conflict in 2014

Some narratives have painted West Africa as a region where conflict and insecurity occur naturally due to ethnic tensions and porous borders. In reality, the underlying sources and drivers of instability are critical to understanding events. This study from Open Briefing attempts to avoid generalisations by analysing specific factors and identifying forecasts for individual countries in the region.

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The weekly briefing, 10 February 2013

Political and security risk updates from the Open Briefing intelligence unit. Muslim civilians flee Central African Republic capital, ex-guerrilla leader takes lead in El Salvador presidential election, violent protests spread across Bosnia-Herzegovina, and more.

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The weekly briefing, 3 February 2014

Political and security risk updates from the Open Briefing intelligence unit. Renamo adopts a more flexible approach to dialogue in Mozambique, Ukrainian government grants concessions to the opposition, Shell calls off Arctic oil exploration, and more.

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Key international developments for 2014

In December 2013 and January 2014, analysts from the Open Briefing intelligence unit reviewed the key international developments likely to occur over 2014. This briefing covers ten of these developments, including Russian military build-up in the Arctic, a stalled Myanmar transition, an uncertain future in Syria and civil unrest in Angola.

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The weekly briefing, 27 January 2014

Political and security risk updates from the Open Briefing intelligence unit. South Sudan government and rebel forces sign ceasefire agreement, India and Japan seek agreement on civilian nuclear cooperation, the IMO finalises draft Polar Code for Arctic shipping, and more.

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