Open Briefing: An analysis of media imprints from the last three months provides an insight into how key National Congress Party ministers are managing Sudan's dual economic and security crises.
Category: Intelligence briefings
Intelligence brief: A Sudanese Arab Spring and the prospects for opposition unity
Open Briefing: Despite the presence in Sudan of many of the preconditions that led to recent uprisings elsewhere the Middle East and North Africa, a Sudanese ‘Arab Spring’ is assessed as unlikely in the short-term.
Dossier: Economic crisis and political instability in Sudan
Open Briefing: In the last two months alone, Omar al-Bashir's government has survived street protests, denied Israeli allegations of supplying weapons to Hamas and foiled a coup attempt. At the same time, Sudan's economy is edging closer to potential collapse.
Intelligence brief: The likely development of Turkish policy towards Syria
Open Briefing: Turkey is highly likely to seek a leading diplomatic role as the end of the Bashar al-Assad regime appears more likely but is unlikely to shut its border with Syria and highly unlikely to be involved in military action on Syrian territory.
Intelligence brief: An assessment of the states and institutions well placed to provide significant financial relief to Sudan
Open Briefing: Sudan's economy faces potential collapse. However, its current risk profile will deter many lenders from issuing new loans. As such, debt relief will most likely be the dominant form of any financial relief provided to Sudan.
Intelligence brief: Recent nuclear-related developments at the Parchin military complex, Iran
Open Briefing: Recent developments at Iran's Parchin military complex centre on apparent sanitisation and landscaping efforts around a suspected explosives chamber, which suggest it is highly likely any nuclear-related activities at PMC have been suspended.
Intelligence brief: Fatal ambush on police officers in Samburu district, Kenya
Open Briefing: The fact that poorly equipped and inexperienced police officers are being tasked with tracking increasingly well-armed cattle rustlers and other criminals in Kenya suggests that the trend in fatal attacks on officers will likely continue.
Intelligence brief: What is the current status of missing US freelance journalist Austin Tice?
Open Briefing: It is highly likely that missing US journalist Austin Tice was captured by Syrian military forces and, if still alive, is likely still in government custody. However, it is impossible to assess with any confidence his current location or condition.
