Open Briefing: Turkey is likely to continue increasing economic and military links with Sudan, but high-profile political engagement with Sudanese officials will remain difficult for Ankara.
Category: Intelligence desks
Untangling Egypt’s web of political and economic challenges
Open Briefing: Minimising IMF financial support through access to Gulf State finance allows Morsi to craft new political narratives that reject views of Egypt as a US client state and redefines Egypt within a framework of Arab nationalism and centre-right political Islam.
Seizing the initiative: Israel’s strategic environment and the need for assertive diplomacy
Open Briefing: Israel’s strategic neighbourhood is in flux and Netanyahu’s second government has responded with reactive cautiousness. However, this dynamic calls instead for more assertive diplomacy and therefore a change in Israel’s current posturing.
Intelligence brief: How are key National Congress Party ministers managing Sudan’s dual economic and security crises?
Open Briefing: An analysis of media imprints from the last three months provides an insight into how key National Congress Party ministers are managing Sudan's dual economic and security crises.
Intelligence brief: A Sudanese Arab Spring and the prospects for opposition unity
Open Briefing: Despite the presence in Sudan of many of the preconditions that led to recent uprisings elsewhere the Middle East and North Africa, a Sudanese ‘Arab Spring’ is assessed as unlikely in the short-term.
Israel votes, and surprises
Open Briefing: Israel finally went to the ballots on Tuesday with the highest turnout since 1999. However, the exit polls are only half the battle won. The real test, as we saw in 2009, lies in actually cobbling together a sustainable coalition of the unwilling.
Dossier: Economic crisis and political instability in Sudan
Open Briefing: In the last two months alone, Omar al-Bashir's government has survived street protests, denied Israeli allegations of supplying weapons to Hamas and foiled a coup attempt. At the same time, Sudan's economy is edging closer to potential collapse.
Intelligence brief: The likely development of Turkish policy towards Syria
Open Briefing: Turkey is highly likely to seek a leading diplomatic role as the end of the Bashar al-Assad regime appears more likely but is unlikely to shut its border with Syria and highly unlikely to be involved in military action on Syrian territory.