Internal security risk assessment for Greece. Assesses the political violence risk (high), civil unrest risk (medium) and crime risk (high). Includes discussion of the wave of attacks by anarchist organisations and the rising petty crime levels following the introduction of austerity measures.
Category: Intelligence desks
Intelligence brief: Political risk assessment for Greece, autumn 2013
Political risk assessment for Greece. Examines the possibility of repeated resignations of far-right Golden Dawn MPs triggering by-elections and political instability. The current overall political risk in Greece is assessed as medium.
Education and violent extremism in Nigeria
In this article co-published with openDemocracy, Gustavo Plácido dos Santos asks whether in a context of poor school attendance among Muslims in northern Nigeria is the almajiri system favoured by Boko Haram compatible with a peacebuilding project for the country?
Corruption within the pharmaceutical supply chain to the developing world
Pharmaceutical and health sector corruption is financially costly and poses a significant threat to public safety. Recognising the importance of these issues, in May 2013 Savannah Wisdom tasked Open Briefing to undertake a related scoping exercise.
Fire on ice: Russia’s new Arctic brigades
Open Briefing: Russia first publicly announced plans to form at least one Arctic brigade in 2011. The scale and nature of further developments in the formation of these brigades over the next two years or so will tell us much about Moscow’s intentions.
What Rouhani may mean for Iranians
Open Briefing: Iranian president-elect Hassan Rouhani’s positive reputation among Western powers when he led Iran’s nuclear negotiations provides Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, if he wants, with the pretext for greater flexibility at this critical point.
Iran’s outreach to Afghanistan and Tajikistan faces obstacles
Open Briefing: For all the focus on contemporary Iran, relatively little attention is paid to its trilateral ties with Afghanistan and Tajikistan, the geolinguistic remnants of an eclectic series of empires collectively denominated Persian.
Intelligence brief: The likelihood and potential impacts of alternative South Sudan oil pipelines
Open Briefing: Reports that construction of an alternative oil pipeline from South Sudan to Port Lamu, Kenya, will begin in October 2013 are overly optimistic and on-schedule pipeline construction is unlikely. However, Juba is highly likely to continue to seek alternatives to the existing pipeline to Port Sudan, Sudan.
